Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.220520e-05 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079
2025-04-06 2.358532e-05 0.000031 0.000040 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076 0.000093
2025-04-13 1.714217e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000047 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102
2025-04-20 1.319470e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000063 0.000084 0.000112
2025-04-27 1.076219e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000125
2025-05-04 9.013046e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000098 0.000137
2025-05-11 8.247591e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000074 0.000108 0.000155
2025-05-18 7.058652e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000077 0.000115 0.000168
2025-05-25 5.392955e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000045 0.000075 0.000116 0.000173
2025-06-01 4.257900e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000044 0.000075 0.000118 0.000180
2025-06-08 3.525198e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000076 0.000123 0.000190
2025-06-15 2.906684e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000078 0.000127 0.000200
2025-06-22 2.192470e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000042 0.000079 0.000132 0.000211
2025-06-29 1.543338e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000135 0.000221
2025-07-06 9.716767e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000038 0.000076 0.000134 0.000225
2025-07-13 6.472577e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000076 0.000137 0.000234
2025-07-20 4.671952e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000143 0.000248
2025-07-27 3.447770e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000080 0.000150 0.000263
2025-08-03 3.067613e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000086 0.000163 0.000287
2025-08-10 2.256304e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000039 0.000089 0.000171 0.000304
2025-08-17 1.176235e-07 0.000002 0.000012 0.000037 0.000086 0.000170 0.000308
2025-08-24 6.212866e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000086 0.000172 0.000316
2025-08-31 3.538605e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000087 0.000177 0.000329